Slow and steady growth for Mexico in consumption and production of pork
Mexico continues to increase production to meet consumer's growing demand for pork. Exports for 2020 are forecast at a record high.
In marketing year (MY) 2020, the forecast for swine production in Mexico is 20.3 million head, driven by increasing consumer demand for pork.
SADER reports a 6.5-percent increase in pork production through October 2019, compared to the same period in 2018. This phenomenon may be attributed to different factors, such as vertical integration of farms and the recognition of zoo-sanitary status for some production states. In MY 2020, pork production is forecast at 1.47 million MT, with high consumer demand driving increased production. Consumption is forecast at 2.2 million MT.
During January–November 2019, hog slaughter in TIF establishments, saw a 10.5-percent increase compared to the same period in 2018.
The animal feed industry reports that the pork industry used 16 percent of the 35.7 million MT of feed produced in 2019 and will consume a similar share of feed produced in 2020.
In MY 2020, the forecast for imports of live swine is 41,000 head, with 72% coming from the US and 28% from Canada. Mexican exports of live swine continue to be insignificant.
In MY 2020, the forecast for pork imports is 1 million MT. Although Mexico is highly dependent on imports in order to satisfy its demand, imports have been sluggish due to the uncertainty in the country’s current macroeconomic developments.
In MY 2020, pork exports are forecast at a record 250,000 MT, as Mexico looks to expand its exports into Asian markets.
ASF Vietnam: Almost, but not quite, out of the woods
Most communes have gone over a month without new cases of African swine fever, but authorities aren't celebrating just yet.
Nguyen Xuan Cuong of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) reported that more than 90% of communes in Vietnam have gone over 30 days without reporting new outbreaks of African swine fever (ASF). However, with small scale productions, biosecurity is not thorough, so authorities are watchful for ASF to return.
From February 2019 to present, ASF has been detected in 8,548 communes in 667 districts of 63 provinces and cities with a total of 6 million pigs culled; with a total weight of 342,091 tons (accounting for about 9.0% of the country's total weight of pigs).
Currently, there are 8,200 communes (accounting for 96% of the total number of epidemic communes) that have passed 30 days without new cases. Of which, 30 provinces and cities have 100% of their communes that have passed 30 days, and in 29 provinces and cities, over 85% of communes have passed 30 days.
China's efforts to stabilize pork supply in the wake of the coronavirus epidemic
The Ministry of Commerce is responding quickly to ensure a sufficient pork supply during the coronavirus epidemic.
The Ministry of Commerce has implemented the requirements of the CPC Central Committee to strengthen market protection and supply in order to respond to the coronavirus epidemic. MOFCOM has acted immediately to promote the import of meat products.
MOFCOM has strengthened monitoring to get hold of the dynamic market demand. In the first half of January, the actual arrivals of imported pork, beef and other meat totaled 310,000 tons, with an increase of 275% year on year. It is expected that the amount will reach 640,000 tons in the whole January, with a year-on-year increase of 190%. Overall, the stock of imported meat is relatively sufficient.
MOFCOM has facilitated trade on imported pork based on the actual demand for meat products in the domestic market, and has strengthened industry guidance to provide all-round facilitation for pork import.